Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.911795 4.632748 5.478840 6.552886 7.891023 9.517759 11.667221
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.853599 3.729852 4.891346 6.575610 9.010104 12.489635 18.006893
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.408951 3.356399 4.717373 6.879448 10.354388 15.959589 26.223168
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.010626 2.933843 4.340467 6.733944 10.910705 18.335015 33.673771
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.751326 2.657111 4.108336 6.730137 11.654443 21.225835 43.421442
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.534750 2.404913 3.858880 6.623003 12.157429 23.808384 53.875910
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.402952 2.267777 3.772980 6.782213 13.208263 27.898981 70.412023
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.253356 2.076396 3.556225 6.637733 13.576974 30.584468 84.983878
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.202027 2.050306 3.635977 7.105172 15.447306 37.777600 119.249127
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.138109 1.991091 3.640752 7.412028 17.036288 45.001464 160.927815
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.086502 1.947480 3.668161 7.774515 18.893728 54.030093 220.931833
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.015020 1.855430 3.580530 7.846055 19.985388 61.214866 282.475525
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.942229 1.764654 3.509913 8.022441 21.710473 72.828483 397.367457
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.864494 1.656218 3.389796 8.067633 23.167002 85.191136 555.759912
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.818704 1.607737 3.395854 8.455785 25.984166 106.503087 869.703662
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.746148 1.490308 3.217254 8.269390 26.674939 118.460862 1153.740497
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.692230 1.407294 3.108590 8.264510 28.096802 136.417337 1634.952235
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.638511 1.317786 2.968770 8.127361 28.940265 152.345362 2228.939000
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.605661 1.272753 2.936326 8.331217 31.423108 183.444721 3526.328530
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.560519 1.192897 2.798733 8.146212 32.035710 202.046683 4832.040904
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.548776 1.192654 2.877787 8.745499 36.955264 267.436794 9776.063430
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.529962 1.172375 2.897430 9.140039 41.157857 338.097707 19167.289831
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.514261 1.157973 2.931737 9.607217 46.224544 435.685765 42406.964194